NFL Football Picks – Revenge or not Revenge
NFL Football Picks – Revenge or not Revenge
I know you read about getting even quite a few time in sports betting, but does revenge, when it comes down to NFL picks, have whatever to do with making the right football picks?
Well, it does sometimes, other times it does not, just like in all other sports.
When looking at this kind of trends, i do it by starting with all games that suit that trend.
Taking a peek at last 20 years at teams that didn’t win in last match up with their opponent and were favorites in their last match up, you will observe that there’s no actual edge for teams that are on revenge. This is the fact in both situations whether last game was being held in current or prior years.
But lets have a look what goes on if this match should be be referred to as “dog revenge” i.e. if team lost that last game as a dog. It seems that underdogs get some advantage. (51.7% ATS). This comes as a stunner, don’t you think?
If we go on in our hunt for solid pro football picks, and look at teams that are on a double “underdog revenge” i.e. they lost last 2 games versus their opposition as a underdog, we get a profitable info: in 53.7% games, its gonna be smart move to put money on that team. Now this is even more stunning!
We must wonder doesn’t it work out like in other sports, when favs who lose get extra boost in next game? simply cause teams have small number of games. And they are not excited and fired up for a rematch for so much time has passed.
Why do previous underdogs become passionate about a rematch? The truth is they truly aren’t all that eager to get revenge. Because my conclusions are made watching a closing line odds, one and only explanation is: line movement. It is necessary for a line to move is just 1 point to come to this sort of gain. It is very possible because casual handicappers take too much into account prior team match ups.
This dead easy pro football system will give you 50-60 picks every season and you better have a good argument to oppose it.
Free sports picks
USS Picks – handicapping service
|
By John Phlox Published: 11/17/2008 |
<a href="http://e1b9ak1z-2ngpk1eq8lkix9p15.hop.clickbank.net/" target="_blank" title="Football betting system non US."><strong>Futbol betting at ninety percent at this link.</strong></a>
